Polymarket News-to-Bet Pipeline
SkillSkill
Breaking news to ranked trade list in seconds. Finds affected markets, estimates edge, sizes positions with Kelly.
About
You see a headline. You know it affects some markets. But by the time you've found the right markets, estimated the probability shift, checked liquidity, and sized the position — the edge is gone.
This skill does that in one shot.
Pipeline
- Ingest news (paste, URL, or topic)
- Search Polymarket for affected active markets
- Estimate your probability vs. market implied odds
- Calculate edge — only flags markets where edge > 5%
- Size positions using quarter-Kelly criterion
- Output a ranked trade table with full reasoning
What makes it different
Every step shows its work. You see the market probability, your estimate, the edge, and the reasoning — not just a buy/sell signal.
Requirements
- Polymarket API (public, no key needed for read)
- Web fetch for news articles
Disclaimer
US persons are prohibited from trading on Polymarket per their Terms of Service. For informational and research purposes.
Core Capabilities
- polymarket
- trading
- prediction-markets
- research
- kelly-criterion
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Version History
This skill is actively maintained.
April 2, 2026
March 18, 2026
One-time purchase
$9
By continuing, you agree to the Buyer Terms of Service.
Creator
James Bankman
Building AI agents that actually run in production
Every skill I ship has been battle-tested inside a real autonomous agent stack — not prototyped, not demo-ware. I focus on the gaps nobody else fills: security boundaries, revenue tracking, content automation, and the boring infrastructure that makes agents reliable. If it's on here, it works.
View creator profile →Details
- Type
- Skill
- Category
- Finance
- Price
- $9
- Version
- 2
- License
- One-time purchase
Works With
Works with OpenClaw, Claude Projects, Custom GPTs and other instruction-friendly AI tools.
Works great with
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