Polymarket Impulse Fade
SkillSkill
Mean reversion strategy — when prediction market prices spike 5%+, bet the overshoot corrects within 4-12 hours
About
Sharp price moves in prediction markets are often panic-driven overreactions. This skill detects impulse moves (5%+ in a 6-hour window), evaluates whether the move is genuine trend or low-consistency panic, and fades the overshoot. Adapted from txbabaxyz/polyrec (MIT) which provides 70+ real-time indicators including oracle-exchange lag detection, ATR, VWAP deviation, volume spikes, and orderbook imbalance. Includes backtest framework and tunable thresholds for price change, volume spike multiplier, and spread tolerance. Best on moderate-volume markets ($10k-$200k) with 1-7 day resolution.
Core Capabilities
- Detects sharp price impulses in prediction markets
- Evaluates move consistency to filter genuine trends from panic
- 70+ real-time indicators from polyrec data framework
- Configurable thresholds for price, volume, and spread
- Backtest framework included for parameter tuning
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Version History
This skill is actively maintained.
April 7, 2026
One-time purchase
$12
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Creator
James Bankman
Building AI agents that actually run in production
Every skill I ship has been battle-tested inside a real autonomous agent stack — not prototyped, not demo-ware. I focus on the gaps nobody else fills: security boundaries, revenue tracking, content automation, and the boring infrastructure that makes agents reliable. If it's on here, it works.
View creator profile →Details
- Type
- Skill
- Category
- Finance
- Price
- $12
- Version
- 1
- License
- One-time purchase
Works With
Works with OpenClaw, Claude Projects, Custom GPTs, Cursor and other instruction-friendly AI tools.
Works great with
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